Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 90243.910595 95180.057086 100112.410815 105407.393033 110927.305047 116508.594167 122575.016371
2025-05-25 81901.381467 89446.557136 97194.764921 105735.674869 114875.517572 124352.337038 134910.626945
2025-06-01 76634.772475 86028.605080 95884.076276 106973.081829 119080.349385 131875.898297 146398.843373
2025-06-08 71579.292299 82260.075604 93671.258729 106734.209262 121237.404870 136808.853341 154753.711972
2025-06-15 68622.864318 80469.249766 93324.280372 108257.554909 125073.098479 143367.488156 164719.362176
2025-06-22 65710.329956 78483.263145 92540.978449 109088.887644 127959.914042 148733.759795 173253.340827
2025-06-29 62746.321834 76241.673629 91291.249125 109225.072481 129916.217707 152940.581269 180395.922675
2025-07-06 60063.699382 74168.340302 90092.234496 109285.427242 131669.546504 156826.215560 187106.776878
2025-07-13 58690.116899 73531.090723 90472.350165 111100.494386 135389.498437 162927.511117 196349.132013
2025-07-20 57296.556087 72785.388908 90652.919449 112619.415718 138718.694681 168553.799055 205043.829548
2025-07-27 55676.840083 71687.032206 90345.328254 113498.469335 141247.531404 173219.936793 212613.332132
2025-08-03 53756.819880 70142.599991 89431.568066 113586.927488 142783.851033 176683.994735 218752.384841
2025-08-10 52009.540076 68769.427759 88696.991115 113878.705167 144571.892459 180479.328422 225351.743638
2025-08-17 50274.873717 67351.282367 87855.733597 113996.815439 146120.322628 183977.657236 231608.649627
2025-08-24 49223.104894 66743.986816 87973.498840 115259.674387 149041.273277 189119.464641 239856.093598
2025-08-31 47495.036765 65218.138409 86896.052607 114994.187834 150050.010840 191926.931721 245276.769612
2025-09-07 46762.283377 64933.155918 87344.630476 116609.695615 153368.892335 197545.430883 254135.864349
2025-09-14 45735.264798 64228.853757 87230.948217 117492.048588 155760.669036 202028.448381 261624.277985
2025-09-21 44430.356152 63118.318393 86561.522018 117636.547136 157203.861261 205331.802397 267666.164278
2025-09-28 43157.051170 62008.241359 85855.519457 117700.615102 158519.716927 208463.157286 273495.793119
2025-10-05 42755.180116 62037.410099 86607.723309 119628.064775 162196.895088 214544.458607 283020.056795
2025-10-12 42242.419264 61897.035660 87123.532251 121240.763900 165473.850028 220139.370958 291969.961596
2025-10-19 41472.568882 61383.577819 87129.128986 122173.978839 167873.005013 224636.553297 299565.443169